Ngo-2019, indaba yomnotho womhlaba ayizange idlale ngokuvumelana nezibikezelo ezinethemba. Ngenxa yomthelela omkhulu wepolitiki yamazwe ngamazwe, i-geopolitics kanye nokuwohloka kobudlelwano phakathi kwamazwe amakhulu, ikakhulukazi umthelela omubi wempi yezohwebo eyasungulwa yi-United States, umnotho womhlaba ngo-2019 wawuntekenteke. I-IMF yehlise isibikezelo sayo sokukhula komnotho sonyaka wonke izikhathi ezine, sisuka ku-3.9% ekuqaleni konyaka saya ku-3% ngo-Okthoba.
I-OECD iphinde yehlisa izibikezelo zayo zokukhula komhlaba. U-Lawrence Boone, isazi sezomnotho esikhulu se-OECD, uzwakalise ukukhathazeka ngokuthi ukukhula komhlaba wonke kungaphansi kwengcindezi eyandayo. 'Umnotho womhlaba manje uvaleleke ekuwohlokeni okuhambisanayo,' kusho i-IMF embikweni wayo ka-Okthoba weWorld Economic Outlook. Ngo-2018, kwakukhona amazwe amathathu emhlabeni i-GDP yawo ikhule ngaphezu kuka-8% : iRwanda (8.67%) e-Afrika, iGuinea (8.66%) ne-Ireland (8.17%) eYurophu; Amazwe ayisithupha anokukhula kweGDP okungaphezu kuka-7% yiBangladesh, Libya, Cambodia, Cote d 'Ivoire, Tajikistan kanye neVietnam.
Ukukhula kwe-GDP bekungaphezulu kwama-6% emazweni ayi-18, ama-5% kwayi-8, kanye nama-4% kwangama-23. Kodwa ngo-2019, wonke lawa mazwe abone amazinga awo okukhula komnotho ehla abe ngamazinga ahlukahlukene. Amazwe angu-15 ahamba phambili kwezomnotho emhlabeni ngo-2018 kube yi-United States, China, Japan, Germany, United Kingdom, France, India, Italy, Brazil, Canada, Russia, South Korea, Spain, Australia neMexico.
Izimo zabo zezomnotho zinomthelela omkhulu emnothweni womhlaba.
Iningi leminotho ephezulu eyi-15 lehle ngo-2019, yize ngezinga elihlukile. Ukukhula kwe-GDP yaseNdiya, ngokwesibonelo, kwehle kwafinyelela ku-4.7%, kwehle ngohhafu kusukela ngo-2018. Umnotho wase-Europe usaqhubeka nokuntengantenga, njengoba iJalimane neFrance zidonsa kanzima, kanti umnotho weBrexit uyantengantenga. I-GDP yase-Japan ikhule ngezinga lonyaka lika-0.2% nje kuphela, kanti eyaseNingizimu Korea ngenani lonyaka lika-0.4% kuphela.
Umnotho wase-US obonakala uqinile, ngenxa yempi yezohwebo kaTrump kanye nokuqhubeka nokuncishiswa kwenani, empeleni "ubulala izitha eziyinkulungwane ngezindleko zabo", kanye nethemba lokukhiqiza kabusha, okuyinto abaphathi bakaTrump ababheke phambili kuyo, lifiphele.
Abatshalizimali bomhlaba bathathe kakhulu indlela yokulinda nokubona emnothweni wase-US ngenxa yokungaqiniseki okubangelwa impi yezohwebo. Phakathi kweminotho eyi-15 ephezulu, iChina inomnotho omkhulu kanye nesisekelo esiphezulu. Naphezu kobunzima okuhlangabezene nabo kulo nyaka, ukusebenza komnotho waseShayina mayelana nokukhula kwe-GDP kusengcono kakhulu emhlabeni.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Nov-14-2022